Worked examples
The question
Question: A survey asked boys and girls: cat or dog?
Boys: 12 cat, 8 dog.
Girls: 10 cat, 20 dog.
One person is picked at random.
Find P(dog).
1 Make the table
One row for each group, one column for each answer, and a total for each.
The four counts go inside.
Row totals: 12 plus 8 is 20.
10 plus 20 is 30.
Column totals: 22 and 28.
And 50 people in all.
The totals sit at the edges, in the margins.
totals: at the edges (the margins)
2 A total over all
All the dog: 28.
Everyone: 50.
So P of dog is 28/50.
P(dog) = 2850
Careful!
The bottom is everyone, 50.
Not only the other 22.
Careful: not 2822 ✗
Both 28 and 50 can be divided by 2.
That makes it simpler.
P(dog) = 28 ÷ 250 ÷ 2
So it is 14/25.
P(dog) = 1425
3 Check
Let's check.
The four cells add up to 50, everyone.
The table is right.
12 + 8 + 10 + 20 = 50 ✓
And the two cells of dog add up to its total: 8 plus 20 is 28.
So the answer is right!
850 + 2050 = 2850 = P(dog)
Let's look back.
First: make the table.
Then: a total over all.
Last: check.
▶ Watch it solved
The question
Question: A survey asked boys and girls: cat or dog?
Boys: 12 cat, 8 dog.
Girls: 10 cat, 20 dog.
One person is picked at random.
Find P(girl and dog) and P(dog given girl).
1 Make the table
One row for each group, one column for each answer, and a total for each.
The four counts go inside.
Row totals: 12 plus 8 is 20.
10 plus 20 is 30.
Column totals: 22 and 28.
And 50 people in all.
The totals sit at the edges, in the margins.
totals: at the edges (the margins)
2 One cell over all
Girl and dog: both at once.
That is one cell, 20.
Out of everyone, 50.
So P of girl and dog is 20/50.
P(girl and dog) = 2050
Careful!
And means out of everyone: 50.
Over 28 would be given dog.
Careful: not 2028 ✗
Both 20 and 50 can be divided by 10.
So it is 2/5.
P(girl and dog) = 20 ÷ 1050 ÷ 10 = 25
3 Keep only the given row
Given girl: only this row counts.
In it: 20 dog, out of 30.
So P of dog given girl is 20/30.
P(dog | girl) = 2030
Both 20 and 30 can be divided by 10.
So it is 2/3.
P(dog | girl) = 20 ÷ 1030 ÷ 10 = 23
So: P of girl and dog is 2/5.
P of dog given girl is 2/3.
4 Check
Let's check.
The four cells add up to 50, everyone.
The table is right.
12 + 8 + 10 + 20 = 50 ✓
And the and rule: P of girl, 30/50, times P of dog given girl, 20/30.
The 30s cancel: 20/50.
So the answer is right!
P(girl) × P(dog | girl) = 3050 × 2030 = 2050
Let's look back.
First: make the table.
Then: one cell over all.
Then: keep only the given row.
Last: check.
Answer P(dog | girl) = 20 ÷ 1030 ÷ 10 = 23
▶ Watch it solved
The question
Question: A survey asked men and women: yes or no?
Men: 16 yes, 4 no.
Women: 12 yes, 8 no.
One person is picked at random.
Find P(yes), P(woman and no) and P(no given woman).
1 Make the table
One row for each group, one column for each answer, and a total for each.
The four counts go inside.
Row totals: 16 plus 4 is 20.
12 plus 8 is 20.
Column totals: 28 and 12.
And 40 people in all.
The totals sit at the edges, in the margins.
totals: at the edges (the margins)
2 A total over all
All the yes: 28.
Everyone: 40.
So P of yes is 28/40.
P(yes) = 2840
Careful!
The bottom is everyone, 40.
Not only the other 12.
Careful: not 2812 ✗
Both 28 and 40 can be divided by 4.
So it is 7/10.
P(yes) = 28 ÷ 440 ÷ 4 = 710
3 One cell over all
Woman and no: both at once.
That is one cell, 8.
Out of everyone, 40.
So P of woman and no is 8/40.
P(woman and no) = 840
Both 8 and 40 can be divided by 8.
So it is 1/5.
P(woman and no) = 8 ÷ 840 ÷ 8 = 15
4 Keep only the given row
Given woman: only this row counts.
In it: 8 no, out of 20.
So P of no given woman is 8/20.
P(no | woman) = 820
Both 8 and 20 can be divided by 4.
So it is 2/5.
P(no | woman) = 8 ÷ 420 ÷ 4 = 25
So: P of yes is 7/10.
P of woman and no is 1/5.
P of no given woman is 2/5.
5 Check
Let's check.
The four cells add up to 40, everyone.
The table is right.
16 + 4 + 12 + 8 = 40 ✓
And the two cells of yes add up to its total: 16 plus 12 is 28.
So the answer is right!
1640 + 1240 = 2840 = P(yes)
Let's look back.
First: make the table.
Then: a total over all.
Then: one cell over all.
Then: keep only the given row.
Last: check.
Answer P(no | woman) = 8 ÷ 420 ÷ 4 = 25
▶ Watch it solved