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A coin is flipped 40 times and lands heads 26 times, find the…

Step by step, with the reason for every step · Experimental probability · Probability

Step by step

The question

Question: A coin is flipped 40 times and lands heads 26 times.

Find the experimental probability of heads.

1 Times it happened over times tried

It happened 26 times out of 40 flips.

So the experimental probability is 26/40.

P(heads) = 2640

Experimental probability comes from what really happened in the experiment.

experimental = what really happened

26 and 40 can both be divided by 2.

So it is 13/20.

= 26 ÷ 240 ÷ 2 = 1320

As a percent: 20 times 5 is 100.

13 times 5 is 65.

So it is 65%.

= 13 × 520 × 5 = 65100 = 65%

2 Compare with the theory

In theory, a coin has 2 sides, so heads is 1 out of 2: 50%.

= theory: 12 = 50%

Careful!

That is the theory.

The question asks what really happened: 65%.

Careful: not P(heads) = 50% ✗

65% is far from 50%.

With so few flips, that can happen.

More flips usually get closer.

= 65% > 50%

3 Check

Let's check: 65% of 40 flips should be the 26 times.

65% of 40 is 26.

So the answer is right!

65% of 40 = 26

Let's look back.

First: times it happened over times tried.

Then: compare with the theory.

Last: check.

Answer
= 13 × 520 × 5 = 65100 = 65%

Your turn

Try this one yourself, then check:

Show the answer
75%

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