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P(rain) = 80%, find the odds against rain

Step by step, with the reason for every step · Odds · Probability

Step by step

The question

Question: find the odds against rain, when the probability of rain is 80%.

P(rain) = 80%

The odds against put the outcomes against first, then the outcomes for.

odds against = against : for

1 Make it a fraction

Percent means out of 100: 80% is 80/100.

P(rain) = 80100

Both 80 and 100 can be divided by 20.

That makes it simpler.

P(rain) = 80 ÷ 20100 ÷ 20

So it is 4/5.

P(rain) = 45

2 Read the fraction

4/5 means 4 out of every 5 outcomes are for rain.

for = 4

The others are against: 5 minus 4 is 1.

against = 5 − 4 = 1

3 Write the odds

Against, then for: 1 to 4.

odds against = 1 : 4

Careful!

The 5 is all the outcomes.

Odds compare for with against, not with all.

Careful: not 1 : 5 ✗

4 Check

Let's check by going back.

The probability is for over all: 4/4 plus 1.

That is 4/5.

The same.

So the answer is right!

P = for over all = 44 + 1 = 45 ✓

Let's look back.

First: make it a fraction.

Then: read the fraction.

Then: write the odds.

Last: check.

Answer
Careful: not 1 : 5 ✗

Your turn

Try this one yourself, then check:

P(rain) = 75%. Odds against rain?
Show the answer
odds against = 1 : 3

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