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Paired test: before 210, 195, 230, 205, 220, 215; after 200, 190…

Step by step, with the reason for every step · Paired samples · University Statistics

Step by step

The question

Question: the same 6 people are measured before and after: at the 5% level, did the weights go down?

before: 210, 195, 230, 205, 220, 215; after: 200, 190, 228, 199, 210, 212

The same people are measured twice.

So we look at each person's change: one list of differences.

the same people twice: work with each one's difference

1 The differences

Each row is one person: before and after.

200 minus 210 is −10.

190 minus 195 is −5.

228 minus 230 is −2.

199 minus 205 is −6.

210 minus 220 is −10.

212 minus 215 is −3.

Careful!

The two lists are the same people.

So we test the differences, not two separate groups.

Careful: one list of differences, not two groups

2 Mean and SD of d

The differences add up to −36.

Their mean: −36/6 is −6.

d̄ = −366 = −6

For the SD: each difference minus −6, squared.

−10 gives 16.

−5 gives 1.

−2 gives 16.

−6 gives 0.

−10 gives 16.

−3 gives 9.

They add up to 58.

A sample SD divides by n minus 1: 58/5 is 11.6.

The square root: about 3.4059.

sd = √586 − 1 = √11.6 ≈ 3.4059

3 Write the hypotheses

H₀ is the "nothing new" idea: it has the equal sign.

Here: the mean change is 0.

H0 : μd = 0

Hₐ is what we want to show.

Here: the mean change is less than 0.

Ha : μd < 0

Less than means only the left end counts.

One tail.

one tail: the left end

4 The test number

The SD of the mean difference: 3.4059 over the square root of 6, about 1.3905.

SD of the mean = sd√n = 3.4059√6 ≈ 1.3905

t is the mean difference minus 0, over 1.3905: about −4.315.

t = −6 − 01.3905 ≈ −4.315

5 The cut-off

The t-table needs df: n minus 1, 5.

df = n − 1 = 6 − 1 = 5

One tail: 0.05 in one end.

Row 5, column 0.05.

Row 5, column .05: t* = 2.015.

The t curve, with the cut-off and our t.

Past the cut-off is the reject part: the rare samples.

6 Decide

Our t, −4.315, is past the cut-off: in the reject part.

So we reject H zero.

= t = −4.315 < −2.015 → reject H0

7 Say it in words

At the 5% level, there is enough evidence that

In words: at the 5% level, there is enough evidence that the weights went down.

the weights went down.

8 Check

Let's check with the mean difference itself.

The cut-off for it is 0 minus 2.015 times 1.3905: −2.8019.

cut-off for the mean difference: 0 − 2.015 × 1.3905 = −2.8019

The mean difference, −6, is past it.

The same decision.

So it is right!

−6: past it, reject

Let's look back.

First: the differences.

Then: mean and SD of d.

Then: write the hypotheses.

Then: the test number.

Then: the cut-off.

Then: decide.

Then: say it in words.

Last: check.

Answer
= t = −4.315 < −2.015 → reject H0

Your turn

Try this one yourself, then check:

before: 215, 190, 240, 195, 220, 220; after: 210, 188, 234, 185, 217, 210
Show the answer
reject H0

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