Step by step
The question
Question: x can be 0, 1, 2, 3, with probabilities 0.2, a missing one, 0.3, 0.1: find the missing probability.
There are four choices.
First we solve it, the normal way.
Then we pick.
1 All P(x) add to 1
x always takes one of its values.
So all the probabilities add up to 1.
0.2 plus P of 1 plus 0.3 plus 0.1 is 1.
The known ones add up to 0.6.
To remove the plus 0.6, we take away 0.6 on both sides.
1 minus 0.6 is 0.4.
Careful!
The missing probability is what is left over from 1.
2 Check
Let's check: 0.2 plus 0.4 plus 0.3 plus 0.1 is 1.
So it is right!
3 Pick the choice
Our answer is P(1) = 0.4.
That is choice A.
4 Why not the others
B is 1.
Wrong: the total, not the missing part.
C is 0.25.
Wrong: split 1 equally: the probabilities add up to 1.
D is 0.6.
Wrong: that is the sum of the others: take it away from 1.
Let's look back.
First: all P(x) add to 1.
Then: check.
Then: pick the choice.
Last: why not the others.