Step by step
The question
Question: a sample of 18 has mean 96 and SD 9: at the 5% level, is the true mean less than 100?
We only know s, the SD of the sample.
So we use t, not z.
1 Write the hypotheses
H₀ is the "nothing new" idea: it has the equal sign.
Here: the mean is 100.
Hₐ is what we want to show.
Here: the mean is less than 100.
Less than means only the left end counts.
One tail.
2 The test number
First the SD of the sample means: s over the square root of n.
9 over the square root of 18 is about 2.1213.
t is the sample mean minus 100, over 2.1213.
96 minus 100 is −4.
Divided by 2.1213: about −1.886.
3 The cut-off
The t-table needs df: n minus 1, 17.
Careful!
df is 18 minus 1: 17.
One tail: 0.05 in one end.
Row 17, column 0.05.
Row 17, column .05: t* = 1.740.
The t curve, with the cut-off and our t.
Past the cut-off is the reject part: the rare samples.
4 Decide
Our t, −1.886, is past the cut-off: in the reject part.
So we reject H zero.
5 Say it in words
In words: at the 5% level, there is enough evidence that the mean is less than 100.
6 Check
Let's check with the sample mean itself.
The cut-off for it is 100 minus 1.740 times 2.1213: 96.3089.
The sample mean, 96, is past it.
The same decision.
So it is right!
Let's look back.
First: write the hypotheses.
Then: the test number.
Then: the cut-off.
Then: decide.
Then: say it in words.
Last: check.