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The mean time in a sample is 24 minutes with a margin of error of…

Step by step, with the reason for every step · Margin of error · Statistics

Step by step

The question

Question: The mean time in a sample is 24 minutes with a margin of error of 2.5 minutes.

Is 21 minutes a plausible value for the mean?

1 What the margin means

24 minutes comes from a sample: only some of the people.

The true value for everyone can be a bit different.

The margin of error, 2.5 minutes, says how far it can be.

24 ± 2.5

± means plus or minus: we go 2.5 minutes down and 2.5 minutes up.

The true value is likely in between.

± = plus or minus
true value: likely within 2.5 of 24

2 Lowest and highest

The lowest likely value: 24 minus 2.5 is 21.5.

lowest = 24 − 2.5 = 21.5

The highest: 24 plus 2.5 is 26.5.

highest = 24 + 2.5 = 26.5

3 Draw it

A number line from 19.6 to 27.8: a bit of room on each side.

The likely values go from 21.5 to 26.5.

We colour them green.

24, the sample's answer, is right in the middle.

Now 21, the value in the question.

We mark it in red.

4 Inside or outside

21 is below 21.5: outside the green part.

= 21 < 21.5

Careful!

Close is not enough.

It must be inside the margin of error.

Careful: not 21 is close to 24 → plausible ✗

So no: 21 minutes is not a plausible value.

= no, 21 is not plausible

5 Check

Let's check another way: how far is 21 from 24?

24 minus 21 is 3.

That is more than the margin, 2.5.

So it is right!

24 − 21 = 3, 3 > 2.5

Let's look back.

First: what the margin means.

Then: lowest and highest.

Then: draw it.

Then: inside or outside.

Last: check.

Answer
= no, 21 is not plausible

Your turn

Try this one yourself, then check:

Show the answer
no, 16 is not plausible

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