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The odds against rain are 7 : 2, find P(rain)

Step by step, with the reason for every step · Odds · Probability

Step by step

The question

Question: find the probability of rain, when the odds against rain are 7 to 2.

odds against = 7 : 2

The odds against put the outcomes against first, then the outcomes for.

odds against = against : for

1 For and against

Against comes first.

So 7 are against, and 2 are for.

for = 2
against = 7

2 Add for all

All the outcomes: for plus against.

2 plus 7 is 9.

all = 2 + 7 = 9

3 Write the fraction

The probability is for over all: 2/9.

P(rain) = 29

Careful!

The bottom is all the outcomes, for plus against: 9.

Not only the 7 against.

Careful: not 27 ✗

4 Check

Let's check by going back.

2 out of 9 are for, and 7 against.

The odds against: 7 to 2.

The same as the question.

So the answer is right!

for: 2 of 9, against: 9 − 2 = 7 → 7 : 2 ✓

Let's look back.

First: for and against.

Then: add for all.

Then: write the fraction.

Last: check.

Answer
Careful: not 27 ✗

Your turn

Try this one yourself, then check:

Odds against rain = 2 : 1. P(rain)?
Show the answer
P(rain) = 13

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