Steply

140 students were chosen at random from a college. They chose for…

Step by step, with the reason for every step · What a study can say · Statistics

Step by step

The question

Question: 140 students were chosen at random from a college.

They chose for themselves whether to eat breakfast every day.

The breakfast group had more energy.

What can the study say?

1 Two questions

To judge a study, we ask two questions.

How were the students picked?

And how were the groups made?

2 How they were picked

The story says the students were chosen at random from the college.

So: yes.

At random means all the students in the college had the same chance to be picked.

So the group is a fair small copy of the whole college.

random: all students in the college had the same chance

So what we find can be used for the whole college: true for all students in the college.

3 How the groups were made

The students chose for themselves.

So: no, not at random.

People who choose to eat breakfast every day may be different in other ways too.

they chose: the groups may differ in other ways

Careful!

Doing better does not prove the breakfast caused it.

Something else may make the difference.

Careful: not the breakfast group did better → causes ✗

So the breakfast and the better result go together.

But maybe the breakfast did not cause it.

4 What the study can say

So the study can say: in the college, the breakfast and the result go together, but maybe the breakfast is not the cause.

= linked in the college, maybe not caused

5 Check

Let's check with the story.

The first sentence says: chosen at random from the college.

That matches.

"chosen at random from" → all the college

The second sentence says: they chose.

That matches too.

So the answer is right!

"chose" → maybe not caused

Let's look back.

First: two questions.

Then: how they were picked.

Then: how the groups were made.

Then: what the study can say.

Last: check.

Answer
= linked in the college, maybe not caused

Your turn

Try this one yourself, then check:

Show the answer
linked in the school, maybe not caused

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