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One card is drawn from a standard deck of 52. What is the…

Step by step, with the reason for every step · AP Statistics Practice Exam 1 · AP Statistics

Step by step

The question

Question: A card is picked from a deck of 52 cards.

What is the probability it is a face card or a heart?

There are four choices.

First we solve it, the normal way.

Then we pick.

1 Find each one

Call face card A.

There are 12.

A = face card → 12 cards

P stands for probability.

There are 52 outcomes in all.

P = probability
all = 52

Call heart B.

There are 13.

B = heart → 13 cards

What is in both?

3.

A and B = 3 cards

2 Draw a Venn diagram

The box holds all the outcomes.

A in the blue circle: 9 that are only A, and 3 in the middle, in both.

B in the orange circle: 10 more that are only B.

30 are neither A nor B.

They go outside.

3 Add, take away the overlap

A or B: we add them.

But the middle is in A and in B, so it was counted twice.

We take it away once.

P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A and B)
or: add, then take away
the overlap once

In numbers: 12/52, plus 13/52, minus 3/52.

P(A or B) = 1252 + 1352 − 352

Careful!

Adding alone counts the middle twice.

Careful: not 1252 + 1352 = 2552 ✗

Same bottoms: we add and take away the tops.

P(A or B) = 12 + 13 − 352

12 plus 13 minus 3 is 22.

So it is 22/52.

P(A or B) = 2252

4 Simplify

Both 22 and 52 can be divided by 2.

That makes it simpler.

P(A or B) = 22 ÷ 252 ÷ 2

So it is 11/26.

P(A or B) = 1126

5 Check

Let's check: we count what is inside the circles.

9 plus 3 plus 10 is 22.

22 out of 52.

The same.

So the answer is right!

in the circles: 9 + 3 + 10 = 22 → 2252

6 Pick the choice

Our answer is 11/26.

That is choice A.

A) 1126

7 Why not the others

B is 25/52.

Wrong: counted the 3 face hearts twice: take them away once.

That is the Careful mistake from before.

B) 2552 ✗ counted the 3 face hearts twice: take them away once

C is 3/52.

Wrong: that is face card and heart.

C) 352 ✗ that is face card and heart

D is 1/4.

Wrong: that is a heart only.

D) 14 ✗ that is a heart only

Let's look back.

First: find each one.

Then: draw a Venn diagram.

Then: add, take away the overlap.

Then: simplify.

Then: check.

Then: pick the choice.

Last: why not the others.

Answer
P(A or B) = 1126

Your turn

Try this one yourself, then check your answer:

A card is picked from a deck of 52 cards. What is the probability it is a king or a spade?
Show the answer
413

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