Step by step
The question
Question: find the residual for the line of best fit y = 0.9x + 1.3 and the point (4, 4).
The point is the real data.
A residual tells how far a point is from the line.
Residual = actual minus predicted.
Actual is the real y.
Predicted is the y the line gives.
There are four choices.
First we solve it, the normal way.
Then we pick.
1 Predict
We put x = 4 into the line.
It predicts y = 4.9.
2 Actual minus predicted
Careful!
Not predicted minus actual.
That flips the sign.
Actual comes first, so a point above the line gets a plus.
The actual y is 4.
4 minus 4.9 is −0.9.
So the residual is −0.9.
It is negative: the point is 0.9 below the line.
3 Check
Let's check with a picture.
The line of best fit.
The point.
The residual is the distance up or down from the line to the point.
And predicted plus residual gives the actual y: 4.
So the answer is right!
4 Pick the choice
Our answer is residual = −0.9.
That is choice D.
5 Why not the others
A is 0.9.
Wrong: the residual is actual minus predicted: 4 − 4.9.
That is the Careful mistake from before.
B is 0.
Wrong: (4, 4) is not on the line.
C is 4.9.
Wrong: that is the predicted value.
Let's look back.
First: predict.
Then: actual minus predicted.
Then: check.
Then: pick the choice.
Last: why not the others.