Step by step
The question
Question: does a linear or an exponential model fit this scatterplot better?
1 Look at the points
Each dot is one point of the data: across is x, up is y.
x goes up by 1 each time, the same step.
So we can compare each point with the one before.
We write the points in a table.
2 Check the differences
Linear means: about the same number is added each step.
So we look at the change from one y to the next: plus 5, then plus 5, then plus 5, then plus 5.
We add 5 every step.
The same number.
Careful!
The y numbers grow, but that does not make it exponential.
What we add each step stays about the same.
So it is linear.
So a linear model fits better.
3 Check
Let's check on the picture.
A straight line that adds about 5 each step goes through the points, or very close.
So the linear model is right!
Let's look back.
First: look at the points.
Then: check the differences.
Last: check.