Worked examples
The question
Question: does a linear or an exponential model fit this scatterplot better?
linear or exponential?
1 Look at the points
Each dot is one point of the data: across is x, up is y.
x goes up by 1 each time, the same step.
So we can compare each point with the one before.
x: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 same step: + 1
We write the points in a table.
2 Check the differences
Linear means: about the same number is added each step.
So we look at the change from one y to the next: plus 2, then plus 4, then plus 8, then plus 16.
The changes are getting bigger and bigger.
They are not about the same.
So it is not linear.
= + 2, + 4, + 8, + 16: not the same
Careful!
Going up each step does not make it linear.
Linear needs about the same number added every step.
Careful: it goes up each step, but that is not linear
3 Check the ratios
Exponential means: we multiply by about the same number each step.
So we divide each y by the one before.
4/2 is 2.
8/4 is 2.
16/8 is 2.
32/16 is 2.
= 42 = 2, 84 = 2, 168 = 2, 3216 = 2
The same number.
y is multiplied by 2 each step.
So an exponential model fits better.
= × 2 every step → exponential
4 Check
Let's check on the picture.
A straight line from the first point to the last one misses the points in the middle.
A curve that multiplies by about 2 each step goes through the points, or very close.
So the exponential model is right!
the curve passes close to every point; the line does not
Let's look back.
First: look at the points.
Then: check the differences.
Then: check the ratios.
Last: check.
Answer = × 2 every step → exponential
▶ Watch it solved
The question
Question: does a linear or an exponential model fit this scatterplot better?
linear or exponential?
1 Look at the points
Each dot is one point of the data: across is x, up is y.
x goes up by 1 each time, the same step.
So we can compare each point with the one before.
x: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 same step: + 1
We write the points in a table.
2 Check the differences
Linear means: about the same number is added each step.
So we look at the change from one y to the next: plus 5, then plus 11, then plus 18, then plus 42.
The changes are getting bigger and bigger.
They are not about the same.
So it is not linear.
= + 5, + 11, + 18, + 42: not the same
Careful!
Going up each step does not make it linear.
Linear needs about the same number added every step.
Careful: it goes up each step, but that is not linear
3 Check the ratios
Exponential means: we multiply by about the same number each step.
So we divide each y by the one before.
10/5 is about 2.
21/10 is about 2.1.
39/21 is about 1.9.
81/39 is about 2.1.
= 105 ≈ 2, 2110 ≈ 2.1, 3921 ≈ 1.9, 8139 ≈ 2.1
All close to 2.
y is multiplied by about 2 each step.
So an exponential model fits better.
= about × 2 every step → exponential
4 Check
Let's check on the picture.
A straight line from the first point to the last one misses the points in the middle.
A curve that multiplies by about 2 each step goes through the points, or very close.
So the exponential model is right!
the curve passes close to every point; the line does not
Let's look back.
First: look at the points.
Then: check the differences.
Then: check the ratios.
Last: check.
Answer = about × 2 every step → exponential
▶ Watch it solved
The question
Question: does a linear or an exponential model fit this scatterplot better?
linear or exponential?
1 Look at the points
Each dot is one point of the data: across is x, up is y.
x goes up by 1 each time, the same step.
So we can compare each point with the one before.
x: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 same step: + 1
We write the points in a table.
2 Check the differences
Linear means: about the same number is added each step.
So we look at the change from one y to the next: plus 3, then plus 8, then plus 18, then plus 48, then plus 116.
The changes are getting bigger and bigger.
They are not about the same.
So it is not linear.
= + 3, + 8, + 18, + 48, + 116: not the same
Careful!
Going up each step does not make it linear.
Linear needs about the same number added every step.
Careful: it goes up each step, but that is not linear
3 Check the ratios
Exponential means: we multiply by about the same number each step.
So we divide each y by the one before.
5/2 is about 2.5.
13/5 is about 2.6.
31/13 is about 2.4.
79/31 is about 2.5.
195/79 is about 2.5.
= 52 ≈ 2.5, 135 ≈ 2.6, 3113 ≈ 2.4, 7931 ≈ 2.5, 19579 ≈ 2.5
All close to 2.5.
y is multiplied by about 2.5 each step.
So an exponential model fits better.
= about × 2.5 every step → exponential
4 Check
Let's check on the picture.
A straight line from the first point to the last one misses the points in the middle.
A curve that multiplies by about 2.5 each step goes through the points, or very close.
So the exponential model is right!
the curve passes close to every point; the line does not
Let's look back.
First: look at the points.
Then: check the differences.
Then: check the ratios.
Last: check.
Answer = about × 2.5 every step → exponential
▶ Watch it solved