Steply

Fit line y = 3x + 12, x = days of practice, y = number of baskets…

Step by step, with the reason for every step · What the fit line means · Statistics

Step by step

The question

Question: fit line y = 3x + 12, x = days of practice, y = number of baskets made: what does 3 mean?

The fit line is y = 3x + 12.

We write it big, so we can label it.

y = 3x + 12

1 What the letters mean

y is the predicted number of baskets made.

x is the number of days of practice.

A fit line is drawn through data: real numbers someone collected, shown as points.

The line only predicts: the real points are near it, not on it.

fit line: a prediction, points are near it

2 Make a small table

To see what each number does, we try a few days of practice: 0, 1 and 2.

0 is where it starts.

x = 0: 3 times 0 is 0.

Plus 12 is 12.

x = 0: y = 3 × 0 + 12 = 0 + 12 = 12
12

x = 1: 3 times 1 is 3.

Plus 12 is 15.

x = 1: y = 3 × 1 + 12 = 3 + 12 = 15
15

x = 2: 3 times 2 is 6.

Plus 12 is 18.

x = 2: y = 3 × 2 + 12 = 6 + 12 = 18
18

Look at the values of y: 12, 15, 18.

Each time x goes up 1, y goes up by 3.

The same number every time.

3 Find the numbers in the table

Now we write the equation again, and label its numbers.

y = 3x + 12

And 12?

At x = 0, 3 times 0 is 0.

Only 12 is left: the first number in the table.

So 12 is the predicted number of baskets made at 0 days of practice: the start.

Where does plus 3 each time come from?

From 3x: 3 times x.

Each extra day adds one more 3.

Careful!

The real points are near the line, not on it.

So 3 is a predicted change, not an exact one.

Careful: not exactly 3 more for everyone ✗

4 Say it in words

So 3 means: the predicted number of baskets made goes up 3 for each extra day.

5 Check

Let's check with x = 3.

In words: start at 12, then add 3 three times.

We get 21.

words: 12 + 3 + 3 + 3 = 21

The equation with x = 3: 3 times 3 is 9.

Plus 12 gives 21 too.

So the meaning is right!

equation: 3 × 3 + 12 = 9 + 12 = 21

Let's look back.

First: what the letters mean.

Then: make a small table.

Then: find the numbers in the table.

Then: say it in words.

Last: check.

Answer
y = 3x + 12

Your turn

Try this one yourself, then check:

Show the answer
predicted: 2 more each day

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