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Fit line y = 4x + 50, x = weeks of training, y = number of laps…

Step by step, with the reason for every step · What the fit line means · Statistics

Step by step

The question

Question: fit line y = 4x + 50, x = weeks of training, y = number of laps swum: what does 4 mean?

The fit line is y = 4x + 50.

We write it big, so we can label it.

y = 4x + 50

1 What the letters mean

y is the predicted number of laps swum.

x is the number of weeks of training.

A fit line is drawn through data: real numbers someone collected, shown as points.

The line only predicts: the real points are near it, not on it.

fit line: a prediction, points are near it

2 Make a small table

To see what each number does, we try a few weeks of training: 0, 1 and 2.

0 is where it starts.

x = 0: 4 times 0 is 0.

Plus 50 is 50.

x = 0: y = 4 × 0 + 50 = 0 + 50 = 50
50

x = 1: 4 times 1 is 4.

Plus 50 is 54.

x = 1: y = 4 × 1 + 50 = 4 + 50 = 54
54

x = 2: 4 times 2 is 8.

Plus 50 is 58.

x = 2: y = 4 × 2 + 50 = 8 + 50 = 58
58

Look at the values of y: 50, 54, 58.

Each time x goes up 1, y goes up by 4.

The same number every time.

3 Find the numbers in the table

Now we write the equation again, and label its numbers.

y = 4x + 50

And 50?

At x = 0, 4 times 0 is 0.

Only 50 is left: the first number in the table.

So 50 is the predicted number of laps swum at 0 weeks of training: the start.

Where does plus 4 each time come from?

From 4x: 4 times x.

Each extra week adds one more 4.

Careful!

The real points are near the line, not on it.

So 4 is a predicted change, not an exact one.

Careful: not exactly 4 more for everyone ✗

4 Say it in words

So 4 means: the predicted number of laps swum goes up 4 for each extra week.

5 Check

Let's check with x = 3.

In words: start at 50, then add 4 three times.

We get 62.

words: 50 + 4 + 4 + 4 = 62

The equation with x = 3: 4 times 3 is 12.

Plus 50 gives 62 too.

So the meaning is right!

equation: 4 × 3 + 50 = 12 + 50 = 62

Let's look back.

First: what the letters mean.

Then: make a small table.

Then: find the numbers in the table.

Then: say it in words.

Last: check.

Answer
y = 4x + 50

Your turn

Try this one yourself, then check:

Show the answer
predicted: 2 more each week

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