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The line of best fit is y = -1.5x + 90, where x is the number of…

Step by step, with the reason for every step · What the fit line means · Statistics

Step by step

The question

Question: The line of best fit is y = −1.5x + 90, where x is the number of hours of TV watched and y is the test score.

What does 1.5 mean?

The fit line is y = −1.5x + 90.

We write it big, so we can label it.

y = −1.5x + 90

1 What the letters mean

y is the predicted test score.

x is the number of hours of TV watched.

A fit line is drawn through data: real numbers someone collected, shown as points.

The line only predicts: the real points are near it, not on it.

fit line: a prediction, points are near it

2 Make a small table

To see what each number does, we try a few hours of TV watched: 0, 1 and 2.

0 is where it starts.

x = 0: −1.5 times 0 is 0.

Plus 90 is 90.

x = 0: y = −1.5 × 0 + 90 = 0 + 90 = 90
90

x = 1: −1.5 times 1 is −1.5.

Plus 90 is 88.5.

x = 1: y = −1.5 × 1 + 90 = −1.5 + 90 = 88.5
88.5

x = 2: −1.5 times 2 is −3.

Plus 90 is 87.

x = 2: y = −1.5 × 2 + 90 = −3 + 90 = 87
87

Look at the values of y: 90, 88.5, 87.

Each time x goes up 1, y goes down by 1.5.

The same number every time.

3 Find the numbers in the table

Now we write the equation again, and label its numbers.

y = −1.5x + 90

And 90?

At x = 0, −1.5 times 0 is 0.

Only 90 is left: the first number in the table.

So 90 is the predicted test score at 0 hours of TV watched: the start.

Where does minus 1.5 each time come from?

From −1.5x: −1.5 times x.

Each extra hour takes away one more 1.5.

Careful!

The real points are near the line, not on it.

So 1.5 is a predicted change, not an exact one.

Careful: not exactly 1.5 less for everyone ✗

4 Say it in words

So 1.5 means: the predicted test score goes down 1.5 for each extra hour.

5 Check

Let's check with x = 3.

In words: start at 90, then take away 1.5 three times.

We get 85.5.

words: 90 − 1.5 − 1.5 − 1.5 = 85.5

The equation with x = 3: −1.5 times 3 is −4.5.

Plus 90 gives 85.5 too.

So the meaning is right!

equation: −1.5 × 3 + 90 = −4.5 + 90 = 85.5

Let's look back.

First: what the letters mean.

Then: make a small table.

Then: find the numbers in the table.

Then: say it in words.

Last: check.

Answer
y = −1.5x + 90

Your turn

Try this one yourself, then check:

Show the answer
predicted: 0.3 less each hour

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