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Scatterplot (0, 1.5) (1, 3) (2, 6.1) (3, 11.9) (4, 24.2): linear or…

Step by step, with the reason for every step · Linear or exponential model from a scatterplot · Statistics

Step by step

The question

Question: does a linear or an exponential model fit this scatterplot better?

linear or exponential?

1 Look at the points

Each dot is one point of the data: across is x, up is y.

x goes up by 1 each time, the same step.

So we can compare each point with the one before.

x: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 same step: + 1

We write the points in a table.

2 Check the differences

Linear means: about the same number is added each step.

So we look at the change from one y to the next: plus 1.5, then plus 3.1, then plus 5.8, then plus 12.3.

The changes are getting bigger and bigger.

They are not about the same.

So it is not linear.

= + 1.5, + 3.1, + 5.8, + 12.3: not the same

Careful!

Going up each step does not make it linear.

Linear needs about the same number added every step.

Careful: it goes up each step, but that is not linear

3 Check the ratios

Exponential means: we multiply by about the same number each step.

So we divide each y by the one before.

3/1.5 is about 2.

6.1/3 is about 2.

11.9/6.1 is about 2.

24.2/11.9 is about 2.

= 31.5 ≈ 2, 6.13 ≈ 2, 11.96.1 ≈ 2, 24.211.9 ≈ 2

All close to 2.

y is multiplied by about 2 each step.

So an exponential model fits better.

= about × 2 every step → exponential

4 Check

Let's check on the picture.

A straight line from the first point to the last one misses the points in the middle.

A curve that multiplies by about 2 each step goes through the points, or very close.

So the exponential model is right!

the curve passes close to every point; the line does not

Let's look back.

First: look at the points.

Then: check the differences.

Then: check the ratios.

Last: check.

Answer
= about × 2 every step → exponential

Your turn

Try this one yourself, then check:

linear or exponential?
Show the answer
exponential

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