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Fit line y = -2x + 95, x = absences, y = final grade: what does 2…

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The question

Question: fit line y = −2x + 95, x = absences, y = final grade: what does 2 mean?

The fit line is y = −2x + 95.

We write it big, so we can label it.

y = −2x + 95

1 What the letters mean

y is the predicted final grade.

x is the number of absences.

A fit line is drawn through data: real numbers someone collected, shown as points.

The line only predicts: the real points are near it, not on it.

fit line: a prediction, points are near it

2 Make a small table

To see what each number does, we try a few absences: 0, 1 and 2.

0 is where it starts.

x = 0: −2 times 0 is 0.

Plus 95 is 95.

x = 0: y = −2 × 0 + 95 = 0 + 95 = 95
95

x = 1: −2 times 1 is −2.

Plus 95 is 93.

x = 1: y = −2 × 1 + 95 = −2 + 95 = 93
93

x = 2: −2 times 2 is −4.

Plus 95 is 91.

x = 2: y = −2 × 2 + 95 = −4 + 95 = 91
91

Look at the values of y: 95, 93, 91.

Each time x goes up 1, y goes down by 2.

The same number every time.

3 Find the numbers in the table

Now we write the equation again, and label its numbers.

y = −2x + 95

And 95?

At x = 0, −2 times 0 is 0.

Only 95 is left: the first number in the table.

So 95 is the predicted final grade at 0 absences: the start.

Where does minus 2 each time come from?

From −2x: −2 times x.

Each extra absence takes away one more 2.

Careful!

The real points are near the line, not on it.

So 2 is a predicted change, not an exact one.

Careful: not exactly 2 less for everyone ✗

4 Say it in words

So 2 means: the predicted final grade goes down 2 for each extra absence.

5 Check

Let's check with x = 3.

In words: start at 95, then take away 2 three times.

We get 89.

words: 95 − 2 − 2 − 2 = 89

The equation with x = 3: −2 times 3 is −6.

Plus 95 gives 89 too.

So the meaning is right!

equation: −2 × 3 + 95 = −6 + 95 = 89

Let's look back.

First: what the letters mean.

Then: make a small table.

Then: find the numbers in the table.

Then: say it in words.

Last: check.

Answer
y = −2x + 95

Your turn

Try this one yourself, then check:

Show the answer
predicted: 4 less each absence

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