Steply

The line of best fit is y = 6x + 30, where x is the number of trees…

Step by step, with the reason for every step · What the fit line means · Statistics

Step by step

The question

Question: The line of best fit is y = 6x + 30, where x is the number of trees planted and y is the number of birds seen.

What does 6 mean?

The fit line is y = 6x + 30.

We write it big, so we can label it.

y = 6x + 30

1 What the letters mean

y is the predicted number of birds seen.

x is the number of trees planted.

A fit line is drawn through data: real numbers someone collected, shown as points.

The line only predicts: the real points are near it, not on it.

fit line: a prediction, points are near it

2 Make a small table

To see what each number does, we try a few trees planted: 0, 1 and 2.

0 is where it starts.

x = 0: 6 times 0 is 0.

Plus 30 is 30.

x = 0: y = 6 × 0 + 30 = 0 + 30 = 30
30

x = 1: 6 times 1 is 6.

Plus 30 is 36.

x = 1: y = 6 × 1 + 30 = 6 + 30 = 36
36

x = 2: 6 times 2 is 12.

Plus 30 is 42.

x = 2: y = 6 × 2 + 30 = 12 + 30 = 42
42

Look at the values of y: 30, 36, 42.

Each time x goes up 1, y goes up by 6.

The same number every time.

3 Find the numbers in the table

Now we write the equation again, and label its numbers.

y = 6x + 30

And 30?

At x = 0, 6 times 0 is 0.

Only 30 is left: the first number in the table.

So 30 is the predicted number of birds seen at 0 trees planted: the start.

Where does plus 6 each time come from?

From 6x: 6 times x.

Each extra tree adds one more 6.

Careful!

The real points are near the line, not on it.

So 6 is a predicted change, not an exact one.

Careful: not exactly 6 more for everyone ✗

4 Say it in words

So 6 means: the predicted number of birds seen goes up 6 for each extra tree.

5 Check

Let's check with x = 3.

In words: start at 30, then add 6 three times.

We get 48.

words: 30 + 6 + 6 + 6 = 48

The equation with x = 3: 6 times 3 is 18.

Plus 30 gives 48 too.

So the meaning is right!

equation: 6 × 3 + 30 = 18 + 30 = 48

Let's look back.

First: what the letters mean.

Then: make a small table.

Then: find the numbers in the table.

Then: say it in words.

Last: check.

Answer
y = 6x + 30

Your turn

Try this one yourself, then check:

Show the answer
predicted: 3 more each tree

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