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A club has 5 boys and 5 girls, 4 are picked at random, P(2 boys and…

Step by step, with the reason for every step · Probability with counting · Probability

Step by step

The question

Question: A club has 5 boys and 5 girls.

4 of them are picked at random.

What is the probability that 2 are boys and 2 are girls?

The probability is the number of ways we want, over all the ways.

P(2 boys, 2 girls) = ways we wantall ways

P stands for probability.

P = probability

1 Order: yes or no

Does order matter?

No.

Picking Ann, then Bo, is the same group as Bo, then Ann.

So we count groups: combinations.

= a group: order does not matter → nCr

2 Count all the ways

10 C 4: the top 4 numbers from 10 down, over 4 factorial.

all = 10C4 = 10 × 9 × 8 × 74 × 3 × 2 × 1

Before we multiply, we make the numbers smaller.

8 and 4 both divide by 4: 2.

9 and 3 both divide by 3: 3.

10 and 2 both divide by 2: 5.

What is left is 5 times 3 times 2 times 7.

all = 5 × 3 × 2 × 7

5 times 3 is 15.

15 times 2 is 30.

30 times 7 is 210.

5 × 3 = 15
15 × 2 = 30
30 × 7 = 210

So there are 210 ways.

all = 210

3 Count the ways we want

5 C 2: the top 2 numbers from 5 down, over 2 factorial.

boys = 5C2 = 5 × 42 × 1

Before we multiply, we make the numbers smaller.

4 on top and 2 at the bottom: 4 divided by 2 is 2.

What is left: 5 times 2.

That is 10 ways.

boys = 10
5 × 2 = 10

5 C 2: the top 2 numbers from 5 down, over 2 factorial.

girls = 5C2 = 5 × 42 × 1

Before we multiply, we make the numbers smaller.

4 on top and 2 at the bottom: 4 divided by 2 is 2.

What is left: 5 times 2.

That is 10 ways.

girls = 10
5 × 2 = 10

Each choice of boys goes with each choice of girls.

So we multiply: 10 times 10 is 100.

we want = 10 × 10 = 100

Careful!

We need both at the same time: boys and girls.

And means multiply, not add.

Careful: not 10 + 10 ✗

4 Write the fraction

100 ways we want, out of 210.

P(2 boys, 2 girls) = 100210

5 Simplify

Both 100 and 210 can be divided by 10.

That makes it simpler.

P(2 boys, 2 girls) = 100 ÷ 10210 ÷ 10

So it is 10/21.

P(2 boys, 2 girls) = 1021

6 Check

Let's check another way: pick one at a time, in the order B, B, G, G.

Multiplied, that is 5/63.

BBGG: 510 × 49 × 58 × 47 = 563

But the 2 boys and the 2 girls can come in 6 orders, each just as likely.

6 times that is 10/21.

The same.

So the answer is right!

6 orders: 6 × 563 = 1021

Let's look back.

First: order: yes or no.

Then: count all the ways.

Then: count the ways we want.

Then: write the fraction.

Then: simplify.

Last: check.

Answer
P(2 boys, 2 girls) = 1021

Your turn

Try this one yourself, then check:

Show the answer
P(2 boys, 2 girls) = 35

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