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A club has 6 boys and 4 girls, 3 are picked at random, P(2 girls and…

Step by step, with the reason for every step · Probability with counting · Probability

Step by step

The question

Question: A club has 6 boys and 4 girls.

3 of them are picked at random.

What is the probability that 2 are girls and 1 is a boy?

The probability is the number of ways we want, over all the ways.

P(2 girls, 1 boy) = ways we wantall ways

P stands for probability.

P = probability

1 Order: yes or no

Does order matter?

No.

Picking Ann, then Bo, is the same group as Bo, then Ann.

So we count groups: combinations.

= a group: order does not matter → nCr

2 Count all the ways

10 C 3: the top 3 numbers from 10 down, over 3 factorial.

all = 10C3 = 10 × 9 × 83 × 2 × 1

Before we multiply, we make the numbers smaller.

9 and 3 both divide by 3: 3.

10 and 2 both divide by 2: 5.

What is left is 5 times 3 times 8.

all = 5 × 3 × 8

5 times 3 is 15.

15 times 8 is 120.

5 × 3 = 15
15 × 8 = 120

So there are 120 ways.

all = 120

3 Count the ways we want

4 C 2: the top 2 numbers from 4 down, over 2 factorial.

girls = 4C2 = 4 × 32 × 1

Before we multiply, we make the numbers smaller.

4 on top and 2 at the bottom: 4 divided by 2 is 2.

What is left: 2 times 3.

That is 6 ways.

girls = 6
2 × 3 = 6

Picking 1 of 6 boys: 6 ways.

boys = 6C1 = 6

Each choice of girls goes with each choice of boys.

So we multiply: 6 times 6 is 36.

we want = 6 × 6 = 36

Careful!

We need both at the same time: girls and boys.

And means multiply, not add.

Careful: not 6 + 6 ✗

4 Write the fraction

36 ways we want, out of 120.

P(2 girls, 1 boy) = 36120

5 Simplify

Both 36 and 120 can be divided by 12.

That makes it simpler.

P(2 girls, 1 boy) = 36 ÷ 12120 ÷ 12

So it is 3/10.

P(2 girls, 1 boy) = 310

6 Check

Let's check another way: pick one at a time, in the order G, G, B.

Multiplied, that is 1/10.

GGB: 410 × 39 × 68 = 110

But the 2 girls and the 1 boy can come in 3 orders, each just as likely.

3 times that is 3/10.

The same.

So the answer is right!

3 orders: 3 × 110 = 310

Let's look back.

First: order: yes or no.

Then: count all the ways.

Then: count the ways we want.

Then: write the fraction.

Then: simplify.

Last: check.

Answer
P(2 girls, 1 boy) = 310

Your turn

Try this one yourself, then check:

Show the answer
P(2 girls, 1 boy) = 15

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